Water Tera KongmingTier 2
at AMB Massachusetts Regionals
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.3%
avg ELO +4.9 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1148
· median 1148
· range 1148–1148
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1196
Q3 1397
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.8% | +23.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +15.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
